Computation

The estimates and computations we perform have two goals

To give us the best possibility of a correct estimation
To communicate our estimation to others in the clearest way possible

Transparency of Intention

An important thing to communicate to our audience is why we chose the particular calculation method we chose. This is our intention.

Contrast this with providing the details of the computation. It is possible to provide all the details of the computation while leaving the reader in the dark about why we chose that strategy.

Reproducibility

By making the details of our computation and our strategy clear, we allow others to reproduce and verify our work. Experts regularly make mistakes in their estimates and computations, but by using very transparent methods, they and others can correct their errors quickly.

Calculation Fundamentals

Note: this is a condensed version of the material in ENSP-202. You can find the full notes of that class here.

In order to make quantitative estimates of our energy needs and impacts, we must extend our mathematics with new tools and techniques.

scientific notation
units and physical quantities
computational tools for documenting calculations

Learning Objectives

You will learn to use quantitative tools to express energy
Use spreadsheet tools to create calculations
Use scripting languages to create calculations
Use scientific notation to represent large and small quantities
Use units to represent physical quantities in calculations

Guiding Questions

How do we create reliable, convincing estimations?
How do we express very large and very small numbers?
How can we make estimates with very little information?

Readings

Factor-Label Method

We will use a method that may be familiar to you from chemistry classes.

Calculators

It is worth your time to download a scientific calculator for your phone. A scientific calculator will provide useful features like

A history of your previous computations
The ability to see your entire mathematical expression before execution.

Having these available makes it much easier to avoid and fix computational errors.

Many students have all the concepts and skills for calculations and then become very frustrated when they make errors on their calculators.

Scientific Notation

Allows us to compactly write very large or very small numbers

A very large number

Avogadro's Number
$6.02 \times 10^{23}$
$10^{1}$ = 10
$10^{2} = 10 \times 10$
$10^{3} = 10 \times 10 \times 10$

A very small number

Gravitational Constant
$6.67 \times 10^{-11} (m^3 kg^{-1} s^{-2})$
$10^{-1} = \frac{1}{10}$
$10^{-2} = \frac{1}{10 \times 10}$
$10^{-3} = \frac{1}{10 \times 10 \times 10}$

Operations

Addition
Subtraction
Multiplication
Division

Energy Quantities

Scale of energy quantities

from IPCC Energy Primer

Energy Units

Joule
- SI Unit. One Newton-Meter.
Kilowatt-Hour
- Energy consumed by 1 kW load over one hour
Calorie
- Energy to heat one gram of water one degree Celsius
Kilo-calorie
- One thousand calories. Used in food energy content.
British Thermal Unit (BTU)
- Energy to heat one pound of water by one degree Fahrenheit
Quad
- One quadrillion ($10^{15}$) BTU

Unit Conversions

We may wish to compare energy units that are not consistent
Often you can look up conversions in a table
Other times you may need to recreate the conversion

Back of the Envelope Calculations

Construct a model of appropriate complexity
Gather estimates of necessary quantities
Calculate estimate
Evaluate for feasibility

Exercise

Estimate the yearly use of gasoline in the US
What is our strategy?

Exercise

How many gallons do you consume?
How many persons in the US?

Performing computations

While we want to develop our intuition when we are estimating with large numbers, performing accurate calculations is also important. You will be able to calculate these numbers on a hand-held calculator, in Excel, and using scientific computing platforms like Python or Julia.

Since our calculations are often used as evidence to support an argument, they must be easy to read and have clear methods and assumptions. Using a computer to preserve the details of the calculation is often preferable to using a calculator.

Existing Knowledge

Where have you learned how to use a calculator?
Have you learned how to use a spreadsheet?

Basic computations

Addition (+)
Subtraction (-)
Multiplication (*)
Division (/)
Exponentiation (^ or **)

To perform basic calculations with numbers, we can type numbers into the computer and use the symbols above to perform the calculation.

Variables

To make the details of a computation more clear, we can use readable names for our numbers and then use the names in the calculation.

power = 100
time = 30
energy = power * time

This makes the intention of the calculation more clear to the reader.

Scientific Notation

$6 \cdot 10^3$ is entered as 6E3.

Units

Computation of physical quantities often relies on the human to define and use a consistent set of units of measurement. There are tools that allow us to add physical quantities to our calculations, but they are not as rich as I could like them to be. One good practice is to explicitly include the unit name in the variable name.

power_watt = 100
time_sec = 30
energy_joule = power_watt * time_sec

Functions

A custom function can be created and used. The syntax for this often varies but the idea is usually the same.

m = 1
b = 10
f(x) = m * x + b
f(5) => 15

Scientific Notation

$6 \cdot 10^3$ is entered as 6E3.

Units

power_watt = 100
time_sec = 30
energy_joule = power_watt * time_sec

Units

Some programs can treat quantities with units. Calca allows you to do this.

distance = 100 meter
time = 12 second
distance / time => 8.3333 meter/second

Linear Growth

Linear functions have the same absolute increase for equal time

Exponential Growth and Decay

Exponential functions have same relative increase for equal time
What number do we multiply by itself N times to get another number?

Activity

If a population on 1 million people is growing at 5% each year, how large will the population be in

1 year?
2 years?
10 years?

Quantities

Dimensions, units, quantities

A quantity represents a physical measurement like mass, length or
amount of energy
We represent a quantity with a number and a unit
The dimension of a quantity is different than the unit
For example 1 inch is the same as 2.54 centimeters even though 1 and
2.54 are not the same number

Physical Quantities

Our numbers are often helping us represent physical quantities
Examples:
- The length of a tree
- The number of animals observed
- The number of molecules of mercury in a fish
A physical quantity is expressed as the product of a unit and a
numerical factor

Dimensions

These physical quantities often have a dimension
Examples:
- Length
- Time
- Mass

Units

To quantify dimensions, we use units
One dimension may have multiple units
Length: inches, miles, kilometers, light-years
Mass: grams, pounds, kilograms
There are also systems of units like SI or English

Measurement

Each measurement we make is an estimation of the physical quantity

Consequences

NASA Mars Climate Orbiter destroyed because of newton vs pounds of
force
A cargo flight was lost in 1999 when crew confused meters and feet

Unit conversion factors

These factors are equivalent to one or unity and are dimensionless
They are not numerically equal to one in most cases.
Units can be crossed out

Written

Explanation of unit factor with inches and centimeters

Combinations of units

We often combine units to express new quantities

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